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Is Public Transit Actually Safer than Driving?


There’s a typical notion within the U.S. that taking public transit is harmful. Headlines blare grotesque studies of individuals getting pushed in entrance of subway trains or attacked by strangers, stoking worry and anxiousness. Final month President Donald Trump’s secretary of transportation threatened to withhold funding from the Metropolitan Transportation Authority—which runs the New York Metropolis subway and different public transit in New York State and Connecticut—until it offered plans to scale back crime on the system.

However in actuality, a better look exhibits the security dangers of taking public transportation are comparatively low. In line with the information, driving a automotive within the U.S. is way extra harmful than taking public transit—by way of crash danger and crime.

Four pie charts are scaled to show the number of occupant and nonoccupant fatalities per passenger mile associated with automobile travel and transit, according to a recent report using data from various sources.

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“Public transit journey requires individuals to journey with strangers in a confined area, and particularly in massive cities with very various populations, it’s straightforward to really feel intimidated by that have,” says Todd Litman, founder and govt director of the Victoria Transport Coverage Institute in British Columbia, who has revealed quite a few research on public transit security. “Simply from an experiential perspective, it feels unsafe, particularly to individuals who don’t do it often.” The technical time period for fearing a danger regardless of it having a low likelihood is dread, he says.

But Litman’s analysis places public transit’s demise or damage charge at about one tenth that of automotive journey. And neighborhoods oriented extra round public transit have about one fifth the general visitors deaths per capita of car-oriented neighborhoods.

One vital issue is that communities with higher public transit usually are likely to even be extra compact and walkable or cyclable, which makes them safer. Moreover, entry to public transit reduces the quantity of people that have interaction in dangerous behaviors reminiscent of being intoxicated or texting whereas driving as a result of they’ve various types of transportation.

Knowledge from the nonprofit Nationwide Security Council counsel the security distinction between public transit and driving is even larger. The charge of automotive deaths per 100 million passenger miles lately was greater than 50 instances that of buses, 17 instances that of passenger trains and 1,000 instances that of air journey.

“Each time we get within the automotive, we face an infinite menace to our security,” saysNatalie Draisin, director of the North America Workplace and United Nations consultant for the FIA Basis, a worldwide philanthropy group targeted on highway and journey security. The U.S. is “the high-income nation with the very best highway visitors fatality charge, and we simply settle for that.”

Even from a criminal offense standpoint, public transit is mostly safer than driving. Crime on public transit did improve throughout the COVID pandemic, partially as a result of there have been fewer individuals taking it, consultants say. However the complete numbers of reported transit crimes—together with assaults, robberies and homicides—have been nonetheless comparatively low and orders of magnitude decrease than highway crime. Automobile thefts, together with highway rage incidents involving weapons, additionally elevated throughout the pandemic, information present. Highway-related crime may also embody assaults throughout visitors stops and highway rage incidents that don’t contain weapons, however information on some of these crime are more durable to quantify.

One set of line charts shows total reportable incidents of assault, robbery, homicide and other crimes annually on public transit from 2019 to 2023 or 2024, depending on availability of data. Two more line charts show total estimated incidents of motor vehicle theft and total people wounded or killed in road rage incidents involving guns from 2019 to 2023.

Amanda Montañez; Supply: Bureau of Transportation Statistics (transit crime information); Federal Bureau of Investigation (motorized vehicle theft information); Everytown for Gun Security (gun violence information)

Many consultants largely blame media approaches to protection for the notion that public transit is unsafe: information studies are likely to concentrate on uncommon however sensational incidents reminiscent of subway assaults, versus routine ones reminiscent of automotive crashes. “When any individual will get pushed onto a subway observe in New York Metropolis, that’s nationwide information,” Litman says. However “on any day there are people who find themselves injured or killed in highway rage incidents, and that’s native information.”

Draisin agrees. “If you concentrate on one thing that occurs on a subway platform, it’s very particular person. It’s very seen to different individuals; it’s very private. And it’s so uncommon that it’s surprising,” she says. “Whereas a crash on the highway day by day, as a result of it’s so frequent, simply doesn’t have the identical type of shock worth anymore.”

Litman says racism and classism can also contribute to perceptions of public transit’s risks. Many People affiliate taking public transit with “poor individuals” and immigrants, he says. Moreover, People usually idealize car-centric suburban life, which provides to the notion of automotive journey being safer than it truly is. However by way of visitors deaths, Litman says, “in the event you’re on the lookout for security, the worst factor you could possibly do is transfer out to thesuburbs.”

One other a part of the issue, he provides, is the best way public officers usually attempt to promote security on public transit. Many transit programs have public service bulletins that warn riders, “If you happen to see one thing, say one thing.” Litman says this could prime individuals to fret that there’s extra purpose to be afraid.

Litman thinks this strategy fails to handle the relative security of utilizing public transportation. “The primary assertion ought to all the time be [that] touring on public transit is tremendous protected, and [PSAs should] present some statistic about that,” he says, “after which say, ‘However we’re making an attempt to make it even safer by doing these security methods and inspiring passengers to report potential dangers.’”

Officers may also emphasize advantages of public transit; for instance, it could possibly expose individuals to extra alternatives for nice social interactions. In a 2014 examine, individuals taking the prepare or bus who have been instructed to work together with a stranger subsequent to them reported a extra constructive expertise than those that had no interplay—although that they had anticipated to really feel the alternative. In an period when loneliness is without doubt one of the largest threats to individuals’s well being, commuting by public transit can present a supply of routine, if fleeting, human connection.

As protected as public transit is, there are numerous issues transit authorities can do to make it safer. Extra avenue lighting may very well be added round stops or stations, for instance, and on-demand stops may very well be allowed on extra buses. Transit programs may additionally rent extra feminine drivers, which Draisin says helps to make them really feel safer for ladies—who, globally, use public transit greater than males. Methods ought to have zero-tolerance insurance policies in opposition to sexual harassment and guarantee there are clear restrooms and locations to breastfeed or change diapers, she provides.

The U.S. additionally must spend money on public transit high quality, in response to Litman. Too usually, it’s soiled and unreliable. Methods in lots of European and Asian international locations are clear and trendy, which inspires extra individuals to make use of them.

Driving might be made safer, too, and the most effective methods to do this in cities is by lowering car speeds. Final yr New York Metropolis handed Sammy’s Legislation, which decreased velocity limits in sure areas, significantly college zones. Early information counsel that New York Metropolis’s congestion pricing program (which took impact in January and routinely prices drivers a charge once they enter chronically congested areas), has already decreased crashes and accidents. And no less than 19 states, together with Washington, D.C., have handed legal guidelines permitting velocity cameras. Trial research are underway throughout the U.S. for programs that routinely restrict car velocity, an idea often called clever velocity help.

Even with these enhancements, investing in public transit stays the most effective methods to make journey safer for everybody, Draisin says. “If we disinvest from that,” she says, “we’re going to threaten everyone’s security.”

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